Disclaimer
National Center for Health Statistics Mortality Surveillance System-
The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) collects and
disseminates the Nation's official vital statistics. NCHS collects death
certificate data from state vital statistics offices for virtually all
deaths occurring in the United States. Pneumonia and influenza (P&I)
deaths are identified based on ICD-10 multiple cause of death codes.
NCHS Mortality Surveillance System data are presented by the week the
death occurred at the national, state, and HHS Region levels.
Data on the percentage of deaths due to P&I on a national level are
released two weeks after the week of death to allow for collection of
enough data to produce a stable percentage.
States and HHS regions with less than 20% of the expected total deaths
(average number of total deaths reported by week during 2008-2012) will
be marked as insufficient data. Collection of complete data is not
expected at the time of initial report, and a reliable percentage of
deaths due to P&I is not anticipated at the U.S. Department of
Health and Human Services region or state level within this two week
period.
The data for earlier weeks are continually revised and the proportion of
deaths due to P&I may increase or decrease as new and updated death
certificate data are received by NCHS.
The seasonal baseline of P&I deaths is calculated using a periodic
regression model that incorporates a robust regression procedure applied
to data from the previous five years.
An increase of 1.645 standard deviations above the seasonal baseline of
P&I deaths is considered the “epidemic threshold,” i.e., the point
at which the observed proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia or
influenza was significantly higher than would be expected at that time
of the year in the absence of substantial influenza-related mortality.
Baselines and thresholds are calculated at the national and regional
level and by age group.
For more information on pneumonia and influenza mortality surveillance please visit: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/overview.htm#Mortality
* The 10 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services regions include
the following jurisdictions. Region 1: Connecticut, Maine,
Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont; Region 2: New
Jersey, New York, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands; Region 3:
Delaware, District of Columbia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia; Region 4: Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky,
Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee; Region 5:
Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin; Region 6:
Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas; Region 7: Iowa,
Kansas, Missouri, and Nebraska; Region 8: Colorado, Montana, North
Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming; Region 9: Arizona, California,
Hawaii, Nevada, American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands, Federated
States of Micronesia, Guam, Marshall Islands, and Palau; Region 10:
Alaska, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington.
September 26, 2024
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